Invisibly

Mar 01, 2024, 3:29pm

Campaign Insights Poll Reveals Tightly Contested Race in California Congressional District 22 Primary

Campaign Insights Poll Reveals Tightly Contested Race in California Congressional District 22 Primary
In a recent poll conducted by Campaign Insights for the March 5th, 2024 primary election in California's Congressional District 22, intriguing dynamics have emerged, shedding light on the competitive landscape of the race.
Who do you plan to vote for in the primary election?

Key Findings

  • The poll surveyed 428 likely voters (2/20-2/27) on their voting intentions, presenting a field comprised of two Republican candidates and two Democrats.
  • Republican contenders David Valadao and Chris Mathys received 108 and 109 votes, respectively.
  • Democratic candidates Rudy Salas and Melissa Hurtado secured 120 and 91 votes, respectively.
Who do you plan to vote for in the primary election?

The Implications

Of particular interest is the potential impact of Melissa Hurtado’s candidacy on the Democratic field. Some analysts speculate that Hurtado’s presence may be diverting votes away from Rudy Salas, potentially jeopardizing the Democratic stronghold in the district.
As the primary election approaches, the outcome remains uncertain. However, the data suggests a plausible scenario where both Republican candidates could secure spots in the general election, leveraging the split in Democratic votes caused by Hurtado’s candidacy.

Campaign Insights’ Real-time Polling surveys differ from traditional online surveys in that the questions are shown to the user on web pages in place of an ad. Unlike Google Surveys, which block access to content until the questions are answered, Real-time Polling surveys are optional, thus ensuring that participants are responding voluntarily.